Business outlook 2020
(Business outlook updated on September 22, 2020. Impact from foreign exchange rates on adjusted EBIT updated in KONE's Q3 2020 Interim Report published on October 22, 2020.)
In 2020, KONE's sales growth is estimated to be in the range of -1% to 2% at comparable exchange rates as compared to 2019. The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in the range of 12.1% to 12.7%.Assuming that foreign exchange rates would remain at the October 2020 level, foreign exchange rates are estimated to impact the adjusted EBIT negatively by around EUR 40 million.
KONE has a solid order book and maintenance base for 2020. Excluding the COVID-19 related factors, KONE's profitability outlook has been positive. Targeted pricing and productivity actions, which have impacted the margin of orders received positively, are expected to support profitability together with around EUR 50 million of savings from the Accelerate program and other selective cost containments.
Profitability is expected to be burdened by COVID-19 related extra costs and inefficiencies. Increasing subcontracting costs as well as the investment in building our capability to sell and deliver digital services and solutions are also headwinds for the adjusted EBIT in 2020 in addition to the COVID-19 related items.
KONE is expecting to have around EUR 40 million of restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program in the final year of the program. These costs are excluded from the adjusted EBIT.
Market outlook for 2020
(September 22, 2020. Based on KONE's stock exchange release)
KONE also upgrades the 2020 outlook for the Chinese new equipment market. Otherwise, the market outlook for 2020 is unchanged.
The new equipment market is expected to grow in China and to decline in other regions as a result of the increased uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The maintenance markets are expected to be resilient, excluding the direct impacts of the lockdown measures. In the modernization markets, the fundamental growth drivers are intact, but uncertainty could delay decision-making in modernization projects.
Business outlook for 2020
(September 22, 2020. Based on KONE's stock exchange release)
KONE now estimates that in 2020, its sales growth will be in the range of -1% to 2% at comparable exchange rates as compared to 2019. The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in the range of 12.1% to 12.7%.
For the full year, foreign exchange rates are estimated to impact the adjusted EBIT negatively by around EUR 50 million.
Market outlook for 2020
(September 22, 2020. Based on KONE's stock exchange release)
KONE also upgrades the 2020 outlook for the Chinese new equipment market. Otherwise, the market outlook for 2020 is unchanged.
The new equipment market is expected to grow in China and to decline in other regions as a result of the increased uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The maintenance markets are expected to be resilient, excluding the direct impacts of the lockdown measures. In the modernization markets, the fundamental growth drivers are intact, but uncertainty could delay decision-making in modernization projects.
Market outlook 2020
(Updated on July 17, 2020. Based on KONE's Half-year Financial Report 2020)
The new equipment market is expected to be relatively stable in China and to decline in other regions as a result of the increased uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The maintenance markets are expected to be resilient, excluding the direct impacts of the lockdown measures.
In the modernization markets, the fundamental growth drivers are intact, but uncertainty could delay decision-making in modernization projects.
Business outlook 2020
(Specified on July 17, 2020.Based on KONE's Half-year Financial Report 2020)
In 2020, KONE's sales growth is estimated to be in the range of -4% to 0% at comparable exchange rates as compared to 2019. The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to decline slightly or to be stable at best.
KONE has a solid order book and maintenance base for 2020. Excluding the COVID-19 related factors, KONE’s profitability outlook has been positive. Targeted pricing and productivity actions, which have impacted the margin of orders received positively, are expected to support profitability together with around EUR 50 million of savings from the Accelerate program and other selective cost containments.
Profitability is expected to be burdened by weaker fixed cost absorption in many countries, the costs related to the measures to ensure the safety and wellbeing of KONE's employees, suppliers and customers and the costs related to the actions in the supply operations to ensure solid delivery capability among other things. Increasing subcontracting costs as well as the investment in building our capability to sell and deliver digital services and solutions are also headwinds for the adjusted EBIT in 2020 in addition to the COVID-19 related items. Foreign exchange rates are estimated to impact the EBIT negatively by around EUR 20 million.
KONE is expecting to have around EUR 40 million of restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program in the final year of the program. These costs are excluded from the adjusted EBIT.
Market outlook 2020
(April 22, 2020. Based on KONE's Q1 2020 Interim Report)
The new equipment market is expected to decline across regions as a result of the increased uncertainty related to the COVID-19 outbreak. The Chinese market started to recover in March.
The maintenance markets are expected to be resilient, excluding the direct impacts of the lockdown measures.
In the modernization markets, the fundamental growth drivers are intact, but uncertainty could delay decision-making in modernization projects.
Business outlook 2020
(Business outlook updated on March 23, 2020. Basis for business outlook specified based on KONE's Q1 2020 Interim Report published on April 22, 2020)
KONE estimates that in 2020, its sales will decline or be stable at best at comparable exchange rates as compared to 2019. The rate of decline in sales will depend on the duration and severity of the COVID-19 related government measures and the pace of recovery.
- Stable sales would require a relatively brisk recovery in the second half of 2020 and sustained positive progress in KONE's largest market China.
- KONE's sales are expected to decline by less than 5% in case the restrictive measures would impact KONE's business mainly in the first half of 2020 and there would be a gradual recovery in the second half.
- Should the broad and strict government measures continue to impact KONE's operations well into the second half of 2020, KONE's sales are expected to decline by 5-10%.
The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to decline somewhat or to be stable at best.
Profitability is expected to be burdened by weaker fixed cost absorption due to lower sales, the costs related to the measures to ensure the safety and wellbeing of KONE's employees, suppliers and customers and the costs related to the actions in the supply operations to ensure solid delivery capability among other things. Excluding the COVID-19 related factors, KONE's profitability outlook has been positive.
KONE has a solid order book and maintenance base for 2020. Targeted pricing and productivity actions, which have impacted the margin of orders received positively, are expected to support profitability together with around EUR 50 million of savings from the Accelerate program and other cost containment actions. Increasing subcontracting costs as well as the investment in building our capability to sell and deliver digital services and solutions are the main headwinds for the adjusted EBIT in 2020 in addition to the COVID-19 related items. KONE is also expecting to have around EUR 40 million of restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program in the final year of the program. These costs are excluded from the adjusted EBIT.
Market outlook 2020
(January 28, 2020. Based on KONE's Financial Statement Bulletin 2019)
The new equipment market is expected to be relatively stable or to grow slightly. However, the coronavirus outbreak creates uncertainty to the outlook. In China the market is expected to be relatively stable or to grow slightly in units ordered, while in the rest of the Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to grow slightly. The new equipment markets in North America and the Europe, Middle East and Africa region are expected to be rather stable.
Maintenance markets are expected to see the strongest growth rate in Asia-Pacific and to grow slightly in other regions.
The modernization market is expected to grow slightly in North America and in the Europe, Middle East and Africa region and to develop strongly in Asia-Pacific.
Business outlook 2020
(March 23, 2020. Based on KONE's stock exchange release)
KONE now estimates that in 2020, its sales will decline or be stable at best at comparable exchange rates as compared to 2019. The rate of decline in sales will depend on the duration and severity of the government measures and the pace of recovery.
- Stable sales would require a relatively brisk recovery in the second half of 2020 and sustained positive progress in KONE's largest market China.
- KONE's sales are expected to decline by less than 5% in case the restrictive measures would impact KONE's business mainly in the first half of 2020 and there would be a gradual recovery in the second half.
- Should the broad and strict government measures continue to impact KONE's operations well into the second half of 2020, KONE's sales are expected to decline by 5-10%.
The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to decline somewhat or to be stable at best.
Profitability is expected to be burdened by weaker fixed cost absorption due to lower sales, the costs related to the measures to ensure the safety and wellbeing of KONE's employees, suppliers and customers and the costs related to the actions in the supply operations to ensure solid delivery capability among other things. Excluding the COVID-19 related factors, KONE's profitability outlook has been positive.
Market outlook 2020
(January 28, 2020. Based on KONE's Financial Statement Bulletin 2019)
The new equipment market is expected to be relatively stable or to grow slightly. However, the coronavirus outbreak creates uncertainty to the outlook. In China the market is expected to be relatively stable or to grow slightly in units ordered, while in the rest of the Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to grow slightly. The new equipment markets in North America and the Europe, Middle East and Africa region are expected to be rather stable.
Maintenance markets are expected to see the strongest growth rate in Asia-Pacific and to grow slightly in other regions.
The modernization market is expected to grow slightly in North America and in the Europe, Middle East and Africa region and to develop strongly in Asia-Pacific.
Business outlook 2020
(January 28, 2020. Based on KONE's Financial Statement Bulletin 2019)
In 2020, KONE’s sales is estimated to grow by 0–6% at comparable exchange rates as compared to 2019. The adjusted EBIT is expected to be in the range of EUR 1,250–1,400 million, assuming that foreign exchange rates would remain at the January 2020 level. Foreign exchange rates are estimated to impact EBIT positively by around EUR 15 million.
The outlook is based on KONE’s maintenance base and order book as well as the market outlook. KONE has a solid order book for 2020 and the service business is expected to grow driven by KONE’s growing and aging installed base and overall positive market outlook. Targeted pricing and productivity actions, which have impacted the margin of orders received positively, are expected to support profitability together with around EUR 50 million of savings from the Accelerate program. Increasing labor and subcontracting costs as well as the investment in building our capability to sell and deliver digital services and solutions are the main headwinds for the adjusted EBIT in 2020. Furthermore, the recent coronavirus outbreak creates additional uncertainty. KONE is also expecting to have around EUR 40 million of restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program in the final year of the program. These costs are excluded from the adjusted EBIT.